Liga Pro — Ecuador
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio COAC Mushuc Runa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.77 (league 1.36) 1.26 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.3% 23.3% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.8%
2 - 1
9.5%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tecnico Universitario
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mushuc Runa SC 0 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack38%19%
Defense76%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mushuc Runa SC Tecnico Universitario
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins41%6%24%12%35%24%
Draws24%24%24%41%12%26%
Loses35%71%53%47%53%50%

Form: Mushuc Runa SC: WLWDLDDWLLWLLLLLLLDDLLLLWLWLDWWDDL • Tecnico Universitario: LDDLLWDLLWDLLLLDLDLDWWWWLLLLWLLWDD

League goals

Metric Mushuc Runa SC Tecnico Universitario
HATHAT
GF total261541151429
GF avg1.50.91.20.90.80.9
GA total282755232750
GA avg1.61.61.61.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%82%71%74%
1.526%47%12%47%
2.59%21%3%18%
3.56%6%0%9%
4.53%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
HATHAT
Clean sheets426369
Failed to score2685510

Penalties

MetricMushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricMushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
Wins24
Draws22
Losses74

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-53-11-2
Biggest losses0-53-01-34-0
Goals For4532
Goals Against5334

Model comparison

MetricMushuc Runa SCTecnico Universitario
Form62%38%
Att67%33%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Mushuc Runa SC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.23 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ Unibet
Away3.70 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.48 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.57 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ 188Bet
No1.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mushuc Runa SC = 1.77 (league 1.36), Tecnico Universitario = 1.26 (league 1.01)

Tecnico Universitario
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mushuc Runa SC 0 4.8% 6.1% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 8.5% 10.8% 6.8% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2%
2 7.5% 9.5% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.4% 5.6% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.0% 2.5% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.3% · Draw 23.3% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1