Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.54 (league 1.56) 1.92 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 22.0% 45.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.3%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Real Estelí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jalapa 0 3.2% 6.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.9% 9.3% 8.9% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJalapaReal Estelí
Played55
Form53%53%
Attack47%53%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Jalapa Real Estelí
HATHAT
Played66127512
Wins67%0%33%71%40%58%
Draws0%33%17%29%40%33%
Loses33%67%50%0%20%8%

Form: Jalapa: LLLWLLWLWWDD • Real Estelí: WDWWWDWLWDDW

League goals

Metric Jalapa Real Estelí
HATHAT
GF total1282013720
GF avg2.01.31.71.91.41.7
GA total817254610
GA avg1.32.82.10.61.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJalapaReal Estelí
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%75%83%58%
1.558%67%42%17%
2.517%33%25%8%
3.58%25%17%0%
4.50%8%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJalapaReal Estelí
HATHAT
Clean sheets213415
Failed to score112202

Penalties

MetricJalapaReal Estelí
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricJalapaReal Estelí
Wins23
Draws02
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-04-01-3
Biggest losses0-25-13-1
Goals For4243
Goals Against3523

Model comparison

MetricJalapaReal Estelí
Form50%50%
Att47%53%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h20%80%
Goals32%68%
Total41.0%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Real Estelí

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.68 @ 1xBet
Draw4.53 @ 1xBet
Away1.47 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.15 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Superbet
No1.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Jalapa = 1.54 (league 1.56), Real Estelí = 1.92 (league 0.95)

Real Estelí
0 1 2 3 4 5
Jalapa 0 3.2% 6.1% 5.8% 3.7% 1.8% 0.7%
1 4.9% 9.3% 8.9% 5.7% 2.7% 1.0%
2 3.7% 7.2% 6.9% 4.4% 2.1% 0.8%
3 1.9% 3.7% 3.5% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 45.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1