League Cup — England
Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 19:45 • Swansea.com Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.52) 1.71 (league 1.52)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.9% 18.7% 79.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
29.4%
0 - 2
25.2%
0 - 0
17.2%
Score & goals probability table
Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 17.2% 29.4% 25.2% 14.3% 6.1% 2.1%
1 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSwanseaManchester City
Played31
Form100%100%
Attack44%11%
Defense78%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 2.72 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 1.30 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Swansea Manchester City
HATHAT
Played303011
Wins100%—100%—100%100%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses0%—0%—0%0%

Form: Swansea: WWW • Manchester City: W

League goals

Metric Swansea Manchester City
HATHAT
GF total808022
GF avg2.70.02.70.02.02.0
GA total404000
GA avg1.30.01.30.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSwanseaManchester City
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%33%100%0%
2.567%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSwanseaManchester City
HATHAT
Clean sheets000011
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricSwanseaManchester City
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSwanseaManchester City
Wins31
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1——0-2
Biggest losses————
Goals For3002
Goals Against2000

Model comparison

MetricSwanseaManchester City
Form75%25%
Att80%20%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%100%
Goals19%81%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Manchester City

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.50 @ Betano
Draw7.13 @ Pinnacle
Away1.26 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Betano
Under 2.52.80 @ 888Sport

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Swansea = 0.05 (league 1.52), Manchester City = 1.71 (league 1.52)

Manchester City
0 1 2 3 4 5
Swansea 0 17.2% 29.4% 25.2% 14.3% 6.1% 2.1%
1 0.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 79.6%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1