Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 15:30 • Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.75) 3.21 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.2% 4.5% 84.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
21.2%
0 - 2
19.7%
0 - 4
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Inter Milano W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina W 0 3.8% 12.3% 19.7% 21.2% 17.0% 10.9%
1 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentina WInter Milano W
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%42%
Defense92%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 05 | 5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina W Inter Milano W
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins0%0%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses100%100%0%0%

Form: Fiorentina W: L • Inter Milano W: W

League goals

Metric Fiorentina W Inter Milano W
HATHAT
GF total000505
GF avg0.00.00.05.00.05.0
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentina WInter Milano W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%0%
1.50%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%100%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentina WInter Milano W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFiorentina WInter Milano W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFiorentina WInter Milano W
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-0
Biggest losses1-0
Goals For0050
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricFiorentina WInter Milano W
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals50%50%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Winner : Inter Milano W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.83 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away2.35 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.21 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Pinnacle
No2.33 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina W = 0.05 (league 1.75), Inter Milano W = 3.21 (league 1.56)

Inter Milano W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina W 0 3.8% 12.3% 19.7% 21.2% 17.0% 10.9%
1 0.2% 0.6% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.2% · Draw 4.5% · Away win 84.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1