Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 10:30 • Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.75) 2.57 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.4% 8.2% 86.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
24.0%
0 - 3
20.6%
0 - 1
18.7%
Score & goals probability table
Roma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan W 0 7.3% 18.7% 24.0% 20.6% 13.2% 6.8%
1 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC Milan WRoma W
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack14%29%
Defense93%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 24 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

50%
FT probability

2.5+

35%
FT probability

3.5+

25%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 1 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan W Roma W
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins100%100%100%100%
Draws0%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%0%

Form: AC Milan W: W • Roma W: W

League goals

Metric AC Milan W Roma W
HATHAT
GF total022404
GF avg0.02.02.04.00.04.0
GA total011000
GA avg0.01.01.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC Milan WRoma W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%0%
1.5100%0%100%0%
2.50%0%100%0%
3.50%0%100%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC Milan WRoma W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAC Milan WRoma W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAC Milan WRoma W
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-24-0
Biggest losses
Goals For0240
Goals Against0100

Model comparison

MetricAC Milan WRoma W
Form50%50%
Att33%67%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total46.5%53.5%

Advice: Winner : Roma W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.33 @ Betfair
Draw4.16 @ Pinnacle
Away1.67 @ William Hill

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.58 @ Unibet
No2.40 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.54 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AC Milan W = 0.05 (league 1.75), Roma W = 2.57 (league 1.56)

Roma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan W 0 7.3% 18.7% 24.0% 20.6% 13.2% 6.8%
1 0.4% 0.9% 1.2% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.4% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 86.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1