Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.65) 3.66 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.1% 2.9% 80.5%
best score tips
0 - 3
20.0%
0 - 4
18.3%
0 - 2
16.4%
Score & goals probability table
Napoli W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 2.4% 8.9% 16.4% 20.0% 18.3% 13.4%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernana WNapoli W
Played11
Form0%100%
Attack0%7%
Defense64%100%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 01 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 50 | 0

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

43%
FT probability

2.5+

30%
FT probability

3.5+

21%
FT probability

BTTS

43%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana W Napoli W
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—0%0%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—100%100%0%—0%

Form: Ternana W: L • Napoli W: W

League goals

Metric Ternana W Napoli W
HATHAT
GF total000101
GF avg0.00.00.01.00.01.0
GA total055000
GA avg0.05.05.00.00.00.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernana WNapoli W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%100%0%
1.50%100%0%0%
2.50%100%0%0%
3.50%100%0%0%
4.50%100%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernana WNapoli W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricTernana WNapoli W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricTernana WNapoli W
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——1-0—
Biggest losses—5-0——
Goals For0010
Goals Against0500

Model comparison

MetricTernana WNapoli W
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def0%100%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total26.5%73.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Napoli W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.13 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.60 @ Bet365
Away2.23 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.81 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.01 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.64 @ Pinnacle
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Ternana W = 0.05 (league 1.65), Napoli W = 3.66 (league 1.37)

Napoli W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 2.4% 8.9% 16.4% 20.0% 18.3% 13.4%
1 0.1% 0.4% 0.8% 1.0% 0.9% 0.7%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.1% · Draw 2.9% · Away win 80.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1