Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 •
Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.75)
2.57 (league 1.56)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 14.8% | 16.9% | 63.4% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 2
8.0%
1 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| AC Milan W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina W | 0 | 2.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 17% | 50% |
| Attack | 11% | 17% |
| Defense | 83% | 83% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.5 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
89%
FT probability
2.5+
63%
FT probability
3.5+
45%
FT probability
BTTS
88%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% |
| Draws | 100% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 100% | 50% | 100% | 0% | 50% |
Form: Fiorentina W: LD • AC Milan W: WL
League goals
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fiorentina W | AC Milan W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 25% | 75% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 40.0% | 60.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina W = 1.15 (league 1.75), AC Milan W = 2.57 (league 1.56)
| AC Milan W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina W | 0 | 2.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| 1 | 2.8% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.6% | |
| 2 | 1.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 16.9% · Away win 63.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1