Serie A Women — Italy
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 • Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.22 (league 1.65) 2.93 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.8% 14.7% 64.7%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.3%
1 - 3
8.1%
0 - 2
6.8%
Score & goals probability table
AC Milan W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina W 0 1.6% 4.6% 6.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8%
1 1.9% 5.6% 8.3% 8.1% 5.9% 3.5%
2 1.2% 3.4% 5.0% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentina WAC Milan W
Played22
Form17%50%
Attack11%17%
Defense83%83%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 13 | 1.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 1.53 | 1.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

89%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

88%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina W AC Milan W
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins0%0%0%0%100%50%
Draws100%0%50%0%0%0%
Loses0%100%50%100%0%50%

Form: Fiorentina W: LD • AC Milan W: WL

League goals

Metric Fiorentina W AC Milan W
HATHAT
GF total202123
GF avg2.00.01.01.02.01.5
GA total213213
GA avg2.01.01.52.01.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentina WAC Milan W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%100%100%
1.550%50%50%50%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentina WAC Milan W
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFiorentina WAC Milan W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFiorentina WAC Milan W
Wins01
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins———1-2
Biggest losses—1-01-2—
Goals For2012
Goals Against2121

Model comparison

MetricFiorentina WAC Milan W
Form25%75%
Att40%60%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution25%75%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or AC Milan W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina W = 1.22 (league 1.65), AC Milan W = 2.93 (league 1.37)

AC Milan W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina W 0 1.6% 4.6% 6.8% 6.6% 4.9% 2.8%
1 1.9% 5.6% 8.3% 8.1% 5.9% 3.5%
2 1.2% 3.4% 5.0% 4.9% 3.6% 2.1%
3 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.0% 1.5% 0.9%
4 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.3%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.8% · Draw 14.7% · Away win 64.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1