Expected Goals
0.76 (league 1.65)
0.73 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
| 32.4% |
36.9% |
30.8% |
Score & goals probability table
|
|
Juventus W |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| AC Milan W |
0 |
22.5% |
16.5% |
6.0% |
1.5% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
17.1% |
12.5% |
4.6% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
6.5% |
4.8% |
1.7% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
1.6% |
1.2% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AC Milan W | Juventus W |
| Played | 4 | 4 |
| Form | 50% | 58% |
| Attack | 56% | 17% |
| Defense | 50% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2.5 | 3 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 2.3 | 2 | 0.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric |
AC Milan W |
Juventus W |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| Played | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 25% |
| Loses | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 25% |
Form: AC Milan W: WLLW • Juventus W: DLWW
League goals
| Metric |
AC Milan W |
Juventus W |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| GF total | 5 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GF avg | 2.5 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 4 | 5 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| GA avg | 2.0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AC Milan W | Juventus W |
| For | Against | For | Against |
| 0.5 | 100% | 100% | 50% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 50% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AC Milan W | Juventus W |
| H | A | T | H | A | T |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | AC Milan W | Juventus W |
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | AC Milan W | Juventus W |
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
| Biggest wins | 4-2 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-3 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AC Milan W | Juventus W |
|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 77% | 23% |
| Def | 18% | 82% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 17% | 83% |
| Total | 33.0% | 67.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Juventus W
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home3.60 @ Betfair
Draw3.60 @ Betfair
Away1.87 @ 1xBet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.25 @ Betfair
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.62 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
William Hill
Updated: 2025-11-07T11:36:13+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.40 |
| Draw |
3.50 |
| Away |
1.85 |
Bet ID 2 — Home/Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.62 |
| Away |
1.40 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.60 |
| Draw |
2.50 |
| Away |
2.25 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.30 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.53 |
| Over 2.5 |
5.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.12 |
| Over 3.5 |
15.00 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.02 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.25 |
| Under 0.5 |
3.30 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.85 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.83 |
| Over 2.5 |
3.75 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.22 |
| Over 3.5 |
8.50 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.06 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.18 |
| Under 0.5 |
4.20 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
1.57 |
| No |
2.20 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
12.00 |
| 2:0 |
19.00 |
| 2:1 |
11.00 |
| 3:0 |
36.00 |
| 3:1 |
23.00 |
| 3:2 |
26.00 |
| 4:0 |
81.00 |
| 4:1 |
61.00 |
| 0:0 |
13.00 |
| 1:1 |
6.50 |
| 2:2 |
11.00 |
| 0:1 |
8.50 |
| 0:2 |
9.50 |
| 0:3 |
15.00 |
| 1:2 |
8.00 |
| 1:3 |
13.00 |
| 2:3 |
19.00 |
| 3:3 |
36.00 |
| 0:4 |
29.00 |
| 1:4 |
26.00 |
| 2:4 |
36.00 |
| 4:2 |
67.00 |
| 0:5 |
67.00 |
| 0:6 |
126.00 |
| 1:5 |
56.00 |
| 1:6 |
101.00 |
| 2:5 |
81.00 |
| 2:6 |
126.00 |
| 3:4 |
71.00 |
| 5:0 |
151.00 |
| 5:1 |
126.00 |
| 5:2 |
126.00 |
| 6:0 |
151.00 |
| 6:1 |
151.00 |
| 6:2 |
151.00 |
| 4:3 |
91.00 |
| 4:4 |
126.00 |
| 7:0 |
151.00 |
| 7:1 |
151.00 |
| 8:0 |
151.00 |
| 9:0 |
151.00 |
| 10:0 |
151.00 |
| 0:7 |
151.00 |
| 0:8 |
151.00 |
| 0:9 |
151.00 |
| 0:10 |
151.00 |
| 1:7 |
151.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.83 |
| Home/Away |
1.25 |
| Draw/Away |
1.25 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.70 |
| Draw |
2.30 |
| Away |
2.38 |
Bet ID 32 — Win Both Halves
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
13.00 |
| Away |
5.00 |
Bet ID 39 — To Win Either Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
2.20 |
| Away |
1.44 |
Bet ID 111 — Home team will score in both halves
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
4.00 |
| No |
1.20 |
Bet ID 112 — Away team will score in both halves
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
2.62 |
| No |
1.40 |
Betfair
Updated: 2025-11-07T11:36:13+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.60 |
| Draw |
3.60 |
| Away |
1.85 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.20 |
| Under 1.5 |
4.50 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.62 |
| Under 2.5 |
2.25 |
| Over 3.5 |
2.63 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.47 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.01 |
| Under 0.5 |
15.00 |
| Over 4.5 |
4.50 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.20 |
| Over 5.5 |
8.50 |
| Under 5.5 |
1.06 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
13.00 |
| Home/Away |
17.00 |
| Draw/Away |
5.00 |
| Draw/Draw |
6.00 |
| Home/Home |
6.00 |
| Draw/Home |
8.50 |
| Away/Home |
26.00 |
| Away/Draw |
12.00 |
| Away/Away |
2.88 |
Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score
| Selection | Odds |
| Yes |
1.57 |
| No |
2.25 |
Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result
| Selection | Odds |
| Home +1 |
1.83 |
| Draw +1 |
3.75 |
| Away +1 |
3.30 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
11.00 |
| 2:0 |
17.00 |
| 2:1 |
9.50 |
| 3:0 |
41.00 |
| 3:1 |
23.00 |
| 3:2 |
23.00 |
| 0:0 |
13.00 |
| 1:1 |
6.00 |
| 2:2 |
9.50 |
| 0:1 |
7.50 |
| 0:2 |
8.50 |
| 0:3 |
13.00 |
| 1:2 |
7.00 |
| 1:3 |
11.00 |
| 2:3 |
15.00 |
| 3:3 |
34.00 |
| 0:4 |
26.00 |
| 1:4 |
23.00 |
| 2:4 |
34.00 |
| 1:5 |
56.00 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.75 |
| Draw |
2.30 |
| Away |
2.30 |
1xBet
Updated: 2025-11-07T11:36:13+00:00
Bet ID 1 — Match Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.48 |
| Draw |
3.50 |
| Away |
1.87 |
Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.72 |
| Draw |
2.50 |
| Away |
2.27 |
Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap
| Selection | Odds |
| Home +0 |
2.62 |
| Away +0 |
1.40 |
Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.18 |
| Under 1.5 |
4.20 |
| Over 2.5 |
1.62 |
| Under 2.5 |
2.10 |
| Over 3.5 |
2.50 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.44 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.03 |
| Under 0.5 |
13.00 |
| Over 4.5 |
4.60 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.17 |
| Over 5.5 |
9.00 |
| Under 5.5 |
1.05 |
Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.38 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.53 |
| Over 2.5 |
5.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.12 |
| Over 3.5 |
11.00 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.02 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.25 |
| Under 0.5 |
3.50 |
| Over 4.5 |
41.00 |
Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.85 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.83 |
| Over 2.5 |
3.75 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.22 |
| Over 3.5 |
8.50 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.06 |
| Over 0.5 |
1.18 |
| Under 0.5 |
4.20 |
Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
13.00 |
| Home/Away |
21.00 |
| Draw/Away |
5.00 |
| Draw/Draw |
5.80 |
| Home/Home |
5.00 |
| Draw/Home |
8.00 |
| Away/Home |
34.00 |
| Away/Draw |
13.00 |
| Away/Away |
2.80 |
Bet ID 10 — Exact Score
| Selection | Odds |
| 1:0 |
11.00 |
| 2:0 |
17.00 |
| 2:1 |
9.50 |
| 3:0 |
41.00 |
| 3:1 |
23.00 |
| 3:2 |
23.00 |
| 4:0 |
100.00 |
| 4:1 |
70.00 |
| 0:0 |
13.00 |
| 1:1 |
6.00 |
| 2:2 |
9.50 |
| 0:1 |
7.50 |
| 0:2 |
8.50 |
| 0:3 |
13.00 |
| 1:2 |
7.00 |
| 1:3 |
11.00 |
| 2:3 |
15.00 |
| 3:3 |
34.00 |
| 0:4 |
26.00 |
| 1:4 |
23.00 |
| 2:4 |
34.00 |
| 4:2 |
70.00 |
| 0:5 |
75.00 |
| 0:6 |
100.00 |
| 1:5 |
55.00 |
| 1:6 |
100.00 |
| 2:5 |
90.00 |
| 2:6 |
100.00 |
| 3:4 |
75.00 |
| 5:0 |
100.00 |
| 5:1 |
100.00 |
| 5:2 |
100.00 |
| 6:0 |
100.00 |
| 6:1 |
100.00 |
| 6:2 |
100.00 |
| 4:3 |
100.00 |
| 3:5 |
100.00 |
| 3:6 |
100.00 |
| 4:5 |
100.00 |
| 4:6 |
100.00 |
| 5:3 |
100.00 |
| 5:4 |
100.00 |
| 5:6 |
100.00 |
| 6:3 |
100.00 |
| 6:4 |
100.00 |
| 6:5 |
100.00 |
| 4:4 |
100.00 |
| 7:0 |
100.00 |
| 7:1 |
100.00 |
| 7:2 |
100.00 |
| 7:3 |
100.00 |
| 7:4 |
100.00 |
| 7:5 |
100.00 |
| 7:6 |
100.00 |
| 8:0 |
100.00 |
| 8:1 |
100.00 |
| 8:2 |
100.00 |
| 8:3 |
100.00 |
| 8:4 |
100.00 |
| 8:5 |
100.00 |
| 8:6 |
100.00 |
| 8:7 |
100.00 |
| 9:0 |
100.00 |
| 9:1 |
100.00 |
| 9:2 |
100.00 |
| 9:3 |
100.00 |
| 9:4 |
100.00 |
| 9:5 |
100.00 |
| 9:6 |
100.00 |
| 9:7 |
100.00 |
| 9:8 |
100.00 |
| 10:0 |
100.00 |
| 10:1 |
100.00 |
| 10:2 |
100.00 |
| 10:3 |
100.00 |
| 10:4 |
100.00 |
| 10:5 |
100.00 |
| 10:6 |
100.00 |
| 10:7 |
100.00 |
| 10:8 |
100.00 |
| 10:9 |
100.00 |
| 5:5 |
100.00 |
| 6:6 |
100.00 |
| 7:7 |
100.00 |
| 8:8 |
100.00 |
| 9:9 |
100.00 |
| 10:10 |
100.00 |
| 0:7 |
100.00 |
| 0:8 |
100.00 |
| 0:9 |
100.00 |
| 0:10 |
100.00 |
| 1:7 |
100.00 |
| 1:8 |
100.00 |
| 1:9 |
100.00 |
| 1:10 |
100.00 |
| 2:7 |
100.00 |
| 2:8 |
100.00 |
| 2:9 |
100.00 |
| 2:10 |
100.00 |
| 3:7 |
100.00 |
| 3:8 |
100.00 |
| 3:9 |
100.00 |
| 3:10 |
100.00 |
| 4:7 |
100.00 |
| 4:8 |
100.00 |
| 4:9 |
100.00 |
| 4:10 |
100.00 |
| 5:7 |
100.00 |
| 5:8 |
100.00 |
| 5:9 |
100.00 |
| 5:10 |
100.00 |
| 6:7 |
100.00 |
| 6:8 |
100.00 |
| 6:9 |
100.00 |
| 6:10 |
100.00 |
| 7:8 |
100.00 |
| 7:9 |
100.00 |
| 7:10 |
100.00 |
| 8:9 |
100.00 |
| 8:10 |
100.00 |
| 9:10 |
100.00 |
Bet ID 12 — Double Chance
| Selection | Odds |
| Home/Draw |
1.83 |
| Home/Away |
1.25 |
| Draw/Away |
1.25 |
Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner
| Selection | Odds |
| Home |
3.85 |
| Draw |
2.30 |
| Away |
2.40 |
Bet ID 16 — Total - Home
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
2.62 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.40 |
| Over 2.5 |
6.50 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.10 |
| Over 3.5 |
19.00 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.02 |
Bet ID 17 — Total - Away
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
1.75 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.95 |
| Over 2.5 |
3.30 |
| Under 2.5 |
1.25 |
| Over 3.5 |
7.50 |
| Under 3.5 |
1.07 |
| Over 4.5 |
19.00 |
| Under 4.5 |
1.01 |
Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
7.50 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.07 |
Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)
| Selection | Odds |
| Over 1.5 |
4.50 |
| Under 1.5 |
1.17 |
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ):
AC Milan W = 0.76 (league 1.65),
Juventus W = 0.73 (league 1.37)
|
|
Juventus W |
|
|
0 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
| AC Milan W |
0 |
22.5% |
16.5% |
6.0% |
1.5% |
0.3% |
0.0% |
| 1 |
17.1% |
12.5% |
4.6% |
1.1% |
0.2% |
0.0% |
| 2 |
6.5% |
4.8% |
1.7% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
| 3 |
1.6% |
1.2% |
0.4% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 4 |
0.3% |
0.2% |
0.1% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
| 5 |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
0.0% |
Outcome probabilities:
Home win 32.4% ·
Draw 36.9% ·
Away win 30.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1