Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 14:30 • Stadio Tre Fontane
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
5.32 (league 1.65) 2.05 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 7.1% 6.4%
best score tips
5 - 2
4.7%
5 - 1
4.6%
4 - 2
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Lazio W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roma W 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 2.1% 4.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.2% 4.6% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRoma WLazio W
Played55
Form80%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Roma W Lazio W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins100%67%80%67%50%60%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses0%33%20%33%50%40%

Form: Roma W: WWWWL • Lazio W: WWLLW

League goals

Metric Roma W Lazio W
HATHAT
GF total7714347
GF avg3.52.32.81.02.01.4
GA total077257
GA avg0.02.31.40.72.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRoma WLazio W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%80%
1.5100%20%60%20%
2.560%20%0%20%
3.520%20%0%20%
4.50%20%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRoma WLazio W
HATHAT
Clean sheets202101
Failed to score000101

Penalties

MetricRoma WLazio W
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricRoma WLazio W
Wins42
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-32-11-2
Biggest losses—5-20-14-2
Goals For4322
Goals Against0514

Model comparison

MetricRoma WLazio W
Form57%43%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals72%28%
Total67.8%32.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Roma W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.79 @ Pinnacle
Away6.34 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ 188Bet
No2.17 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Roma W = 5.32 (league 1.65), Lazio W = 2.05 (league 1.37)

Lazio W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roma W 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
2 0.9% 1.8% 1.9% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3%
3 1.6% 3.2% 3.3% 2.3% 1.2% 0.5%
4 2.1% 4.3% 4.4% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
5 2.2% 4.6% 4.7% 3.2% 1.6% 0.7%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 7.1% · Away win 6.4%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1