Serie A Women — Italy
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.65) 0.37 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.4% 51.6% 21.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
44.0%
1 - 0
20.0%
0 - 1
16.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma W 0 44.0% 16.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 7.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParma WFiorentina W
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack25%100%
Defense42%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%0%20%67%50%60%
Draws50%33%40%33%0%20%
Loses0%67%40%0%50%20%

Form: Parma W: LWDDL • Fiorentina W: LDWWW

League goals

Metric Parma W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
GF total30311112
GF avg1.50.00.63.70.52.4
GA total257718
GA avg1.01.71.42.30.51.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParma WFiorentina W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%80%80%80%
1.520%20%60%60%
2.50%20%40%20%
3.50%20%40%0%
4.50%0%20%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParma WFiorentina W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score033011

Penalties

MetricParma WFiorentina W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricParma WFiorentina W
Wins10
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—5-20-1
Biggest losses—4-0—1-0
Goals For2051
Goals Against1431

Model comparison

MetricParma WFiorentina W
Form33%67%
Att20%80%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total34.2%65.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fiorentina W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home6.50 @ 10Bet
Draw4.37 @ Pinnacle
Away1.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Parma W = 0.46 (league 1.65), Fiorentina W = 0.37 (league 1.37)

Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma W 0 44.0% 16.1% 2.9% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
1 20.0% 7.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.4% · Draw 51.6% · Away win 21.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1