Serie A Women — Italy
Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.55 (league 1.67) 1.98 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.4% 18.7% 28.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
6.9%
2 - 2
6.9%
3 - 1
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Parma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.7% 5.4% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
2 3.5% 6.9% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.9% 3.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernana WParma W
Played55
Form20%40%
Attack100%57%
Defense0%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana W Parma W
HATHAT
Played246336
Wins0%25%17%33%0%17%
Draws0%0%0%67%33%50%
Loses100%75%83%0%67%33%

Form: Ternana W: LLLLLW • Parma W: LWDDLD

League goals

Metric Ternana W Parma W
HATHAT
GF total538404
GF avg2.50.81.31.30.00.7
GA total81018358
GA avg4.02.53.01.01.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernana WParma W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%83%50%83%
1.533%83%17%17%
2.517%67%0%17%
3.50%50%0%17%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernana WParma W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score011033

Penalties

MetricTernana WParma W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricTernana WParma W
Wins01
Draws02
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-12-1—
Biggest losses2-45-0—4-0
Goals For3120
Goals Against4514

Model comparison

MetricTernana WParma W
Form33%67%
Att67%33%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total41.3%58.7%

Advice: Winner : Ternana W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.25 @ Unibet
Draw3.59 @ Pinnacle
Away2.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.67 @ Bet365
No2.40 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.74 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.52.24 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana W = 2.55 (league 1.67), Parma W = 1.98 (league 1.41)

Parma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 1.1% 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
1 2.7% 5.4% 5.4% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7%
2 3.5% 6.9% 6.9% 4.5% 2.2% 0.9%
3 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.9% 1.9% 0.8%
4 1.9% 3.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.2% 0.5%
5 1.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.4% · Draw 18.7% · Away win 28.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1