Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Dec 7 2025 • 14:00 • Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.62 (league 1.65) 1.35 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
44.1% 4.0% 2.5%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.9%
4 - 1
5.3%
5 - 0
4.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ternana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina W 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFiorentina WTernana W
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack100%45%
Defense36%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Fiorentina W Ternana W
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins67%25%43%0%25%14%
Draws33%25%29%33%0%14%
Loses0%50%29%67%75%71%

Form: Fiorentina W: LDWWWDL • Ternana W: LLLLLWD

League goals

Metric Fiorentina W Ternana W
HATHAT
GF total11213538
GF avg3.70.51.91.70.81.1
GA total731081018
GA avg2.30.81.42.72.52.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFiorentina WTernana W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%71%71%
1.543%43%29%71%
2.529%14%14%57%
3.529%0%0%43%
4.514%0%0%14%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFiorentina WTernana W
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricFiorentina WTernana W
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricFiorentina WTernana W
Wins31
Draws10
Losses15

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-20-1—0-1
Biggest losses—1-02-45-0
Goals For5131
Goals Against3145

Model comparison

MetricFiorentina WTernana W
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Fiorentina W and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ 188Bet
Draw6.52 @ Pinnacle
Away9.89 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.89 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.53 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.64 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina W = 5.62 (league 1.65), Ternana W = 1.35 (league 1.37)

Ternana W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Fiorentina W 0 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 1.5% 2.0% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
3 2.8% 3.8% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.4% 5.9% 4.0% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 44.1% · Draw 4.0% · Away win 2.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1