Serie A Women
— Italy
Sat, Jan 17 2026 • 14:00 •
Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Expected Goals
5.11 (league 1.65)
0.66 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 56.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
best score tips
5 - 0
9.1%
4 - 0
8.9%
3 - 0
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Genoa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina W | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 77% | 15% |
| Defense | 62% | 15% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
71%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 75% | 40% | 56% | 40% | 0% | 22% |
| Draws | 25% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 40% | 22% | 60% | 100% | 78% |
Form: Fiorentina W: LDWWWDLWW • Genoa W: LLWLWLLLL
League goals
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 5 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 8 |
| GF avg | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 7 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 11 | 18 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2.8 | 2.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fiorentina W | Genoa W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 78% | 67% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 44% | 33% | 11% | 67% |
| 2.5 | 33% | 11% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-3 | 3-1 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 1-0 | 1-3 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Genoa W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 69% | 31% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 67% | 33% |
| Total | 77.0% | 23.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Fiorentina W and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Fiorentina W = 5.11 (league 1.65), Genoa W = 0.66 (league 1.37)
| Genoa W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina W | 0 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.0% · Draw 2.7% · Away win 1.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1