Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 11:30 • Campo Mirko Fersini
Match Finished
1 - 1
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.64) 0.62 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.7% 44.9% 33.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
34.9%
0 - 1
21.5%
1 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
Como W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio W 0 34.9% 21.5% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 9.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLazio WComo W
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack43%29%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lazio W Como W
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins67%40%55%33%60%45%
Draws0%0%0%0%20%9%
Loses33%60%45%67%20%45%

Form: Lazio W: WWLLWLLWWLW • Como W: LWLWWWLWLDL

League goals

Metric Lazio W Como W
HATHAT
GF total76137613
GF avg1.21.21.21.21.21.2
GA total481210313
GA avg0.71.61.11.70.61.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLazio WComo W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%73%73%64%
1.545%18%27%36%
2.59%9%9%18%
3.50%9%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLazio WComo W
HATHAT
Clean sheets303134
Failed to score224123

Penalties

MetricLazio WComo W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricLazio WComo W
Wins23
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-12-4
Biggest losses0-24-21-31-0
Goals For3224
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricLazio WComo W
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lazio W or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Unibet
Draw3.99 @ Pinnacle
Away5.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.91 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lazio W = 0.44 (league 1.64), Como W = 0.62 (league 1.37)

Como W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lazio W 0 34.9% 21.5% 6.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 15.3% 9.4% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.3% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.7% · Draw 44.9% · Away win 33.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1