Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Feb 1 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Ennio Tardini
Match Finished
3 - 3
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.64) 1.05 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
20.1% 33.4% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
20.5%
0 - 0
19.4%
1 - 1
12.0%
Score & goals probability table
Roma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma W 0 19.4% 20.5% 10.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricParma WRoma W
Played55
Form13%87%
Attack0%47%
Defense67%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 07 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Parma W Roma W
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins20%0%9%80%83%82%
Draws60%33%45%20%0%9%
Loses20%67%45%0%17%9%

Form: Parma W: LWDDLDDLLDL • Roma W: WWWWLWWDWWW

League goals

Metric Parma W Roma W
HATHAT
GF total404111122
GF avg0.80.00.42.21.82.0
GA total4913279
GA avg0.81.51.20.41.20.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineParma WRoma W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.527%73%100%45%
1.59%18%64%9%
2.50%18%27%9%
3.50%9%9%9%
4.50%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricParma WRoma W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123336
Failed to score268000

Penalties

MetricParma WRoma W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricParma WRoma W
Wins14
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-1—4-01-3
Biggest losses0-14-0—5-2
Goals For2043
Goals Against1415

Model comparison

MetricParma WRoma W
Form13%87%
Att0%100%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals14%86%
Total22.3%77.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Roma W and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.82 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.50 @ Unibet
Away1.46 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.12 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Parma W = 0.58 (league 1.64), Roma W = 1.05 (league 1.37)

Roma W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Parma W 0 19.4% 20.5% 10.8% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2%
1 11.3% 12.0% 6.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 3.3% 3.5% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 20.1% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 46.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1