Serie A Women — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 13:45 • Centro Sportivo Peppino Vismara
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.64) 0.97 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.5% 23.1% 20.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan W 0 6.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 11.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.0% 5.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAC Milan WFiorentina W
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack43%36%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AC Milan W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
Played76136713
Wins57%33%46%50%29%38%
Draws14%17%15%33%14%23%
Loses29%50%38%17%57%38%

Form: AC Milan W: WLLWWLDWLDWWL • Fiorentina W: LDWWWDLWWDLLL

League goals

Metric AC Milan W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
GF total1572214519
GF avg2.11.21.72.30.71.5
GA total13720101020
GA avg1.91.21.51.71.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAC Milan WFiorentina W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%77%69%85%
1.562%38%31%46%
2.523%15%23%23%
3.58%15%15%0%
4.50%8%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAC Milan WFiorentina W
HATHAT
Clean sheets123112
Failed to score033044

Penalties

MetricAC Milan WFiorentina W
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricAC Milan WFiorentina W
Wins23
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-25-21-3
Biggest losses1-54-31-23-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against5433

Model comparison

MetricAC Milan WFiorentina W
Form64%36%
Att55%45%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : AC Milan W or draw

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.70 @ Unibet
Draw3.42 @ Pinnacle
Away2.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.72 @ Pinnacle
No2.20 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AC Milan W = 1.79 (league 1.64), Fiorentina W = 0.97 (league 1.37)

Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
AC Milan W 0 6.3% 6.2% 3.0% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 11.3% 11.0% 5.4% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
2 10.1% 9.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.0% 5.9% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.6% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.0% 0.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.5% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 20.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1