Serie A Women — Italy
Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 11:30 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.40 (league 1.64) 0.92 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.7% 27.2% 24.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.7%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Genoa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 9.8% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.7% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernana WGenoa W
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack18%36%
Defense18%9%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana W Genoa W
HATHAT
Played67137613
Wins17%14%15%29%0%15%
Draws17%0%8%0%17%8%
Loses67%86%77%71%83%77%

Form: Ternana W: LLLLLWDLLWLLL • Genoa W: LLWLWLLLLDLLL

League goals

Metric Ternana W Genoa W
HATHAT
GF total64108412
GF avg1.00.60.81.10.70.9
GA total111728131427
GA avg1.82.42.21.92.32.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernana WGenoa W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%77%69%92%
1.515%62%15%62%
2.58%46%8%23%
3.50%23%0%15%
4.50%8%0%15%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernana WGenoa W
HATHAT
Clean sheets213101
Failed to score336224

Penalties

MetricTernana WGenoa W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricTernana WGenoa W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses54

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-13-1—
Biggest losses2-45-02-55-0
Goals For3131
Goals Against4555

Model comparison

MetricTernana WGenoa W
Form75%25%
Att33%67%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h0%100%
Goals25%75%
Total49.2%50.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Genoa W

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.80 @ 10Bet
Draw3.48 @ Pinnacle
Away2.40 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana W = 1.40 (league 1.64), Genoa W = 0.92 (league 1.37)

Genoa W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 9.8% 9.1% 4.2% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 13.7% 12.7% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1%
2 9.6% 8.9% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 4.5% 4.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.6% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.7% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 24.8%

vtt 1 , vtd1