Serie A Women
— Italy
Sun, Feb 22 2026 • 17:00 •
Curva Fiesole - Viola Park
Expected Goals
2.99 (league 1.54)
1.26 (league 1.35)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 64.1% | 14.6% | 12.9% |
best score tips
2 - 1
8.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
2 - 0
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Sassuolo W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Fiorentina W | 0 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 4.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 20% |
| Attack | 23% | 15% |
| Defense | 31% | 23% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.70
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
85%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1-2
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 8 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| Wins | 50% | 38% | 43% | 29% | 14% | 21% |
| Draws | 33% | 13% | 21% | 14% | 29% | 21% |
| Loses | 17% | 50% | 36% | 57% | 57% | 57% |
Fiorentina WLDWWWDLWWDLLLW
Sassuolo WDLWLDLDLWLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 6 | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 10 | 10 | 20 | 6 | 14 | 20 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 71% | 79% | 57% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 14% | 57% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 21% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-2 | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Fiorentina W | Sassuolo W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 60% | 40% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 69% | 31% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 59.5% | 40.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home1.52 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.26 @ Pinnacle
Away6.40 @ Unibet
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.96 @ Pinnacle
No1.87 @ Unibet
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League standings
Loading standings…