Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 17:00 • Stadio Tre Fontane
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.53) 0.36 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.1% 21.8% 7.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
18.4%
0 - 0
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roma W 0 12.7% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 7.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.4% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRoma WFiorentina W
Played55
Form73%40%
Attack89%56%
Defense44%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Roma W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
Played78157815
Wins71%75%73%57%38%47%
Draws29%13%20%29%13%20%
Loses0%13%7%14%50%33%

Form: Roma W: WWWWLWWDWWWDWDW • Fiorentina W: LDWWWDLWWDLLLWW

League goals

Metric Roma W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
GF total14152917623
GF avg2.01.91.92.40.81.5
GA total41014121022
GA avg0.61.30.91.71.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRoma WFiorentina W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%47%73%80%
1.560%20%33%47%
2.527%13%27%20%
3.57%7%13%0%
4.50%7%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRoma WFiorentina W
HATHAT
Clean sheets448123
Failed to score000044

Penalties

MetricRoma WFiorentina W
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total34

Streaks

MetricRoma WFiorentina W
Wins43
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-35-21-3
Biggest losses—5-21-23-0
Goals For4353
Goals Against2533

Model comparison

MetricRoma WFiorentina W
Form65%35%
Att62%38%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total67.2%32.8%

Advice: Double chance : Roma W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.84 @ Unibet
Draw3.88 @ Pinnacle
Away4.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.75 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.25 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Roma W = 1.70 (league 1.53), Fiorentina W = 0.36 (league 1.33)

Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Roma W 0 12.7% 4.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 7.8% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.4% 6.7% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.5% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.1% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 7.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1