Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Mar 22 2026 • 14:00 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.53) 1.49 (league 1.33)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.5% 22.1% 29.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.4%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sassuolo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernana WSassuolo W
Played55
Form33%20%
Attack50%25%
Defense42%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana W Sassuolo W
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins25%13%19%25%13%19%
Draws25%13%19%13%25%19%
Loses50%75%63%63%63%63%

Form: Ternana W: LLLLLWDLLWLLLWDD • Sassuolo W: DLWLDLDLWLLLWLLL

League goals

Metric Ternana W Sassuolo W
HATHAT
GF total114153912
GF avg1.40.50.90.41.10.8
GA total14173191726
GA avg1.82.11.91.12.11.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernana WSassuolo W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%75%56%75%
1.525%56%19%63%
2.513%38%0%19%
3.50%19%0%6%
4.50%6%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernana WSassuolo W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224314
Failed to score347527

Penalties

MetricTernana WSassuolo W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total51

Streaks

MetricTernana WSassuolo W
Wins11
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-11-00-1
Biggest losses2-45-00-34-0
Goals For3112
Goals Against4534

Model comparison

MetricTernana WSassuolo W
Form63%38%
Att67%33%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h80%20%
Goals67%33%
Total66.0%34.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ternana W or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ BetVictor
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.70 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.20 @ BetVictor
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ternana W = 1.93 (league 1.53), Sassuolo W = 1.49 (league 1.33)

Sassuolo W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 3.3% 4.9% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.3% 9.4% 7.0% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.1% 9.1% 6.8% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
3 3.9% 5.8% 4.3% 2.2% 0.8% 0.2%
4 1.9% 2.8% 2.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.5% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 29.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1