Serie A Women — Italy
Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 16:00 • Stadio Libero Liberati
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.03 (league 1.51) 1.00 (league 1.36)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.5% 30.5% 33.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.5%
1 - 0
13.5%
0 - 1
13.1%
Score & goals probability table
Fiorentina W
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ternana W 0 13.1% 13.1% 6.6% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.5% 13.5% 6.8% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
2 7.0% 7.0% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTernana WFiorentina W
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack67%67%
Defense33%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1-3
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ternana W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins22%11%17%44%33%39%
Draws33%11%22%33%22%28%
Loses44%78%61%22%44%33%
Ternana WLLLLLWDLLWLLLWDDDL
Fiorentina WLDWWWDLWWDLLLWWDDL

League goals

Metric Ternana W Fiorentina W
HATHAT
GF total1241618725
GF avg1.30.40.92.00.81.4
GA total151934141125
GA avg1.72.11.91.61.21.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTernana WFiorentina W
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%72%78%
1.522%56%28%44%
2.511%33%22%17%
3.50%17%11%0%
4.50%6%6%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTernana WFiorentina W
HATHAT
Clean sheets224224
Failed to score358145

Penalties

MetricTernana WFiorentina W
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total54

Streaks

MetricTernana WFiorentina W
Wins13
Draws32
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-15-21-3
Biggest losses2-45-01-23-0
Goals For3153
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricTernana WFiorentina W
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total47.5%52.5%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.84 @ Marathonbet
Away1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ SBO
Under 2.52.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Bet365
No1.95 @ William Hill
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League standings

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