Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 20:30 • Estadio Campeones del 36
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.21 (league 1.45) 0.66 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.2% 17.6% 9.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 0
12.5%
3 - 0
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Cultural Santa Rosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Atletico 0 5.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.5% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza AtleticoCultural Santa Rosa
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack44%38%
Defense69%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Atletico Cultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
Played151530131528
Wins67%27%47%54%20%36%
Draws13%20%17%31%27%29%
Loses20%53%37%15%53%36%

Form: Alianza Atletico: LWLWDLLWWWWWWWLWLWDDDLWLLDWLLW • Cultural Santa Rosa: DDLDWDLLDWWDLLWWDDLWLWWLWLLW

League goals

Metric Alianza Atletico Cultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
GF total241438241438
GF avg1.60.91.31.80.91.4
GA total101828183048
GA avg0.71.20.91.42.01.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza AtleticoCultural Santa Rosa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%57%75%93%
1.540%27%43%46%
2.517%7%18%21%
3.57%3%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza AtleticoCultural Santa Rosa
HATHAT
Clean sheets9413112
Failed to score4711167

Penalties

MetricAlianza AtleticoCultural Santa Rosa
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total36

Streaks

MetricAlianza AtleticoCultural Santa Rosa
Wins72
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-43-11-2
Biggest losses2-42-01-36-1
Goals For4433
Goals Against4336

Model comparison

MetricAlianza AtleticoCultural Santa Rosa
Form54%46%
Att54%46%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution77%23%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total64.2%35.8%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Atletico or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw4.60 @ Betano
Away8.75 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ SBO
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.72 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Atletico = 2.21 (league 1.45), Cultural Santa Rosa = 0.66 (league 0.95)

Cultural Santa Rosa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Atletico 0 5.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
1 12.5% 8.3% 2.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.2% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 5.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.2% · Draw 17.6% · Away win 9.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1