Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 01:00 • Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.19 (league 1.47) 0.90 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
64.4% 19.0% 14.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.9%
1 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sport Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 4.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza LimaSport Boys
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack100%89%
Defense0%22%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Lima Sport Boys
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins60%47%53%40%13%27%
Draws27%20%23%20%33%27%
Loses13%33%23%40%53%47%

Form: Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWL • Sport Boys: WLWDLLDWDDWLLLWDLLLLDWLLLLDDWW

League goals

Metric Alianza Lima Sport Boys
HATHAT
GF total281341181836
GF avg1.90.91.41.21.21.2
GA total101525182644
GA avg0.71.00.81.21.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza LimaSport Boys
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%50%63%87%
1.533%20%33%47%
2.517%10%17%10%
3.57%3%7%3%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza LimaSport Boys
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715224
Failed to score3475611

Penalties

MetricAlianza LimaSport Boys
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total88

Streaks

MetricAlianza LimaSport Boys
Wins31
Draws12
Losses14

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-24-20-4
Biggest losses3-43-00-24-0
Goals For5244
Goals Against4324

Model comparison

MetricAlianza LimaSport Boys
Form43%57%
Att58%42%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution72%28%
H2h80%20%
Goals89%11%
Total64.3%35.7%

Advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.52 @ Betano
Draw4.45 @ Betano
Away7.05 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.98 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ 188Bet
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alianza Lima = 2.19 (league 1.47), Sport Boys = 0.90 (league 0.93)

Sport Boys
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Lima 0 4.6% 4.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 10.0% 9.0% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.9% 9.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
3 8.0% 7.2% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 4.4% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 64.4% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1