Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 18:15 • Estadio Huancayo
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.45) 1.14 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
47.1% 25.0% 27.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
10.4%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Huancayo 0 6.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Lima
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack100%100%
Defense0%25%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

75%
FT probability

2.5+

53%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sport Huancayo Alianza Lima
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins67%19%42%63%47%55%
Draws13%25%19%25%20%23%
Loses20%56%39%13%33%23%

Form: Sport Huancayo: WWLDWLLWWLWWWDDLWLDWLWLDDLLWLWL • Alianza Lima: WLWWWLDWWLDWWDWWWDLDWDWWDLWLWLW

League goals

Metric Sport Huancayo Alianza Lima
HATHAT
GF total351146311344
GF avg2.30.71.51.90.91.4
GA total182543111526
GA avg1.21.61.40.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSport HuancayoAlianza Lima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%77%77%52%
1.532%39%35%19%
2.523%16%19%10%
3.513%3%6%3%
4.510%3%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Lima
HATHAT
Clean sheets3478715
Failed to score279347

Penalties

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Lima
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%9 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total39

Streaks

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Lima
Wins33
Draws21
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-11-35-11-2
Biggest losses0-35-03-43-0
Goals For5352
Goals Against3543

Model comparison

MetricSport HuancayoAlianza Lima
Form40%60%
Att52%48%
Def38%63%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total41.8%58.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alianza Lima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ 1xBet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away2.75 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.01 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ 188Bet
No2.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sport Huancayo = 1.59 (league 1.45), Alianza Lima = 1.14 (league 0.95)

Alianza Lima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sport Huancayo 0 6.6% 7.5% 4.3% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
1 10.4% 11.8% 6.7% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
2 8.3% 9.4% 5.3% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1%
3 4.4% 5.0% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 47.1% · Draw 25.0% · Away win 27.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1