Mon, Oct 20 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Heraclio Tapia
Match Postponed
Expected Goals
1.29 (league 1.47) 1.60 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.7% 24.5% 44.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.5%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
ADT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Universidad 0 5.6% 8.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlianza UniversidadADT
Played55
Form20%73%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alianza Universidad ADT
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins20%19%19%56%20%39%
Draws27%13%19%31%27%29%
Loses53%69%61%13%53%32%

Form: Alianza Universidad: DLLLDLLWDLLLDDLLWLLLWLDWWLLLLWL • ADT: DWWDLWLDWWLDLLLDDWWLLWLDLWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Alianza Universidad ADT
HATHAT
GF total151631261541
GF avg1.01.01.01.61.01.3
GA total233659182947
GA avg1.52.31.91.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlianza UniversidadADT
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%84%74%74%
1.532%58%39%52%
2.53%32%16%16%
3.50%13%3%6%
4.50%3%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlianza UniversidadADT
HATHAT
Clean sheets325628
Failed to score6511358

Penalties

MetricAlianza UniversidadADT
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlianza UniversidadADT
Wins23
Draws22
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-35-10-35-0
Goals For2343
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricAlianza UniversidadADT
Form21%79%
Att40%60%
Def28%72%
Poisson Distribution45%55%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total41.2%59.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or ADT

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ Marathonbet
Draw3.38 @ Marathonbet
Away3.04 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.51.90 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.66 @ Marathonbet
No2.06 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alianza Universidad = 1.29 (league 1.47), ADT = 1.60 (league 0.94)

ADT
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alianza Universidad 0 5.6% 8.9% 7.1% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5%
1 7.2% 11.5% 9.2% 4.9% 2.0% 0.6%
2 4.6% 7.4% 5.9% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
3 2.0% 3.2% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.7% · Draw 24.5% · Away win 44.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1