Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Modesto Marrone
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 1.31) 0.99 (league 0.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
53.4% 23.9% 21.8%
best score tips
1 - 0
11.5%
1 - 1
11.4%
2 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
El Linqueño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0 6.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.4% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
Played55
Form27%47%
Attack50%80%
Defense30%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy El Linqueño
HATHAT
Played141529141428
Wins71%7%38%43%14%29%
Draws14%67%41%43%29%36%
Loses14%27%21%14%57%36%

Form: Gimnasia Chivilcoy: WDWDWWDWDDLDDDLDWWLWDWDWLWLLD • El Linqueño: LDLLDLDDLWWLWLWDDDWDLWDLWLWD

League goals

Metric Gimnasia Chivilcoy El Linqueño
HATHAT
GF total22830151328
GF avg1.60.51.01.10.91.0
GA total11142572027
GA avg0.80.90.90.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%55%68%61%
1.528%24%25%25%
2.57%7%7%11%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
HATHAT
Clean sheets67139211
Failed to score189549

Penalties

MetricGimnasia ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricGimnasia ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-13-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-12-33-1
Goals For3232
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia ChivilcoyEl Linqueño
Form36%64%
Att38%62%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total46.7%53.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or El Linqueño

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.80 @ Betfair
Away14.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes3.65 @ Marathonbet
No1.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia Chivilcoy = 1.71 (league 1.31), El Linqueño = 0.99 (league 0.73)

El Linqueño
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia Chivilcoy 0 6.7% 6.7% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.4% 5.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.8% 9.7% 4.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.6% 5.5% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.4% 2.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.4% · Draw 23.9% · Away win 21.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1