Liga MX U21
— Mexico
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 15:00 •
Estadio La Esmeralda Cancha Sintetica
Expected Goals
1.09 (league 1.69)
1.13 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.5% | 29.0% | 36.3% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Toluca U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Leon U21 | 0 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 56% | 50% |
| Defense | 63% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
76%
FT probability
2.5+
53%
FT probability
3.5+
38%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 40% | 55% | 67% | 40% | 55% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 45% | 33% | 60% | 45% |
Form: Club Leon U21: WLLWLLWLWWW • Toluca U21: WWWLLLWWLLW
League goals
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 4 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 14 |
| GF avg | 2.3 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 0.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 9 | 6 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 82% | 91% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 45% | 36% | 18% |
| 2.5 | 18% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 9% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 9% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-1 | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 2 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Club Leon U21 | Toluca U21 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 50.8% | 49.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Toluca U21
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Club Leon U21 = 1.09 (league 1.69), Toluca U21 = 1.13 (league 1.07)
| Toluca U21 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Club Leon U21 | 0 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 6.9% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.9% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.5% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 36.3%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1