Liga MX U21 — Mexico
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:00 • Instalaciones Metepec Cancha 2
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.69) 1.96 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.1% 21.0% 62.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
12.0%
0 - 2
11.8%
1 - 1
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Pachuca U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca U21 0 6.1% 12.0% 11.8% 7.7% 3.8% 1.5%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricToluca U21Pachuca U21
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack71%71%
Defense47%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Toluca U21 Pachuca U21
HATHAT
Played77147714
Wins71%43%57%86%71%79%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses29%57%43%14%29%21%

Form: Toluca U21: WWWLLLWWLLWWWL • Pachuca U21: WWWWWWLWWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Toluca U21 Pachuca U21
HATHAT
GF total14721211334
GF avg2.01.01.53.01.92.4
GA total88165510
GA avg1.11.11.10.70.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineToluca U21Pachuca U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%79%86%57%
1.543%36%86%7%
2.521%0%43%7%
3.514%0%21%0%
4.50%0%7%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricToluca U21Pachuca U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets213426
Failed to score044022

Penalties

MetricToluca U21Pachuca U21
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricToluca U21Pachuca U21
Wins36
Draws00
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-25-00-4
Biggest losses1-22-02-31-0
Goals For4354
Goals Against2231

Model comparison

MetricToluca U21Pachuca U21
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution31%69%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total42.8%57.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pachuca U21

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Toluca U21 = 0.83 (league 1.69), Pachuca U21 = 1.96 (league 1.07)

Pachuca U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Toluca U21 0 6.1% 12.0% 11.8% 7.7% 3.8% 1.5%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.5%
3 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.1% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 62.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1