Accra Lions vs Inter Allies

Division One League — Ghana

Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • WAFA Park

Not Started

Accra Lions

—

Inter Allies

Expected Goals

1.17 (league 1.23) 1.20 (league 0.87)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
35.1%	27.9%	36.7%

best score tips

1 - 1

13.1%

0 - 1

11.2%

1 - 0

10.9%

Score & goals probability table

		Inter Allies
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Accra Lions	0	9.4%	11.2%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
	1	10.9%	13.1%	7.9%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
	2	6.4%	7.7%	4.6%	1.8%	0.6%	0.1%
	3	2.5%	3.0%	1.8%	0.7%	0.2%	0.1%
	4	0.7%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%
	5	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

FootyWow Elo verdict

Balanced Elo outlook

Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Accra Lions +14.0, Inter Allies +7.4.

Thin confidence Upset risk: High Elo standalone

Accra Lions Elo 1477.6 · +14.0

Inter Allies Elo 1518.7 · +7.4

Elo gapInter Allies +6

Home / draw / away35% / 29% / 36%

Expected home share49%

Combined Elo2996.3

Deep Elo analysisOpen

Structural edge Balanced Elo outlook

Confidence band Thin confidence

Upset risk High

Model agreement Elo standalone

Combined Elo 2996.3

Elo home share 49%

Match tone Upset Watch

Metric	Accra Lions	Inter Allies
Overall Elo	1477.6	1518.7
Form Elo	1486.6	1541.4
Home / Away Elo	1506.4	1503.9
Attack Elo	1478.7	1511.8
Defense Elo	1493.4	1508.6
Last 5 Elo change	+14.0	+7.4

The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Accra Lions last-5 Elo change: +14.0; Inter Allies last-5 Elo change: +7.4.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Accra Lions	Inter Allies
Played	5	5
Form	53%	33%
Attack	56%	28%
Defense	72%	67%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	10 \| 2	5 \| 1
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	5 \| 1	6 \| 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%

FT probability

2.5+

46%

FT probability

3.5+

33%

FT probability

BTTS

64%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Accra Lions			Inter Allies
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	13	13	26	13	13	26
Wins	38%	23%	31%	46%	23%	35%
Draws	23%	46%	35%	23%	31%	27%
Loses	38%	31%	35%	31%	46%	38%

Accra LionsDLDDWDWDWLDDLLLLWLWLWDDLWW

Inter AlliesDDLLWWLLLLLDDWLWWWWWDLLDDW

League goals

Metric	Accra Lions			Inter Allies
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	15	15	30	22	10	32
GF avg	1.2	1.2	1.2	1.7	0.8	1.2
GA total	17	12	29	15	16	31
GA avg	1.3	0.9	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Accra Lions		Inter Allies
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	62%	65%	65%	85%
1.5	31%	35%	38%	35%
2.5	15%	12%	12%	0%
3.5	4%	0%	8%	0%
4.5	4%	0%	0%	0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Accra Lions			Inter Allies
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	3	6	9	1	3	4
Failed to score	5	5	10	3	6	9

Penalties

Metric	Accra Lions	Inter Allies
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0

Streaks

Metric	Accra Lions	Inter Allies
Wins	1	5
Draws	2	2
Losses	4	5

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	3-0	0-5	4-0	1-2
Biggest losses	0-3	3-2	0-2	2-0
Goals For	3	5	4	2
Goals Against	3	3	2	2

Model comparison

Metric	Accra Lions	Inter Allies
Form	62%	38%
Att	67%	33%
Def	55%	45%
Poisson Distribution	47%	53%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	50%	50%
Total	55.2%	44.8%

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Accra Lions vs Inter Allies

Metric	Accra Lions	Inter Allies
Scored (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	0	0