Sun, Apr 26 2026 • 15:00 •
Len Clay Stadium
Expected Goals
2.04 (league 1.23)
0.69 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 67.2% | 19.5% | 11.5% |
best score tips
2 - 0
13.5%
1 - 0
13.2%
2 - 1
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Skyy | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ashanti Gold | 0 | 6.5% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 13.2% | 9.2% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.5% | 9.4% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 9.2% | 6.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Ashanti Gold carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 40 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Ashanti Gold -4.4, Skyy +7.0.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Ashanti Gold
vs
Skyy
Elo gapAshanti Gold +40
Home / draw / away42% / 25% / 33%
Expected home share56%
Combined Elo3024.7
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3024.7
Elo home share
56%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1514.8 | 1509.9 |
| Form Elo | 1520.2 | 1516.7 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1523.4 | 1488.4 |
| Attack Elo | 1471.7 | 1526.2 |
| Defense Elo | 1528.2 | 1535.3 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -4.4 | +7.0 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Ashanti Gold last-5 Elo change: -4.4; Skyy last-5 Elo change: +7.0.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 61% | 33% |
| Defense | 72% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
66%
FT probability
2.5+
46%
FT probability
3.5+
33%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 77% | 54% | 65% | 57% | 17% | 38% |
| Draws | 23% | 8% | 15% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 0% | 38% | 19% | 14% | 67% | 38% |
Ashanti GoldWDWWWWDWLWDLWWWDLWLWWWWWLW
SkyyDDWDDDLWLWWWWLLLLDLWLWLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 24 | 16 | 40 | 21 | 12 | 33 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 17 | 24 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ashanti Gold | Skyy | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 46% | 65% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 15% | 35% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 4% | 15% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 7 | 7 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 13 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 0-4 | 4-0 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-0 | 1-3 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ashanti Gold | Skyy |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 65% | 35% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 0% | 100% |
| Total | 59.8% | 40.3% |
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
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