Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.92 (league 1.23) 1.35 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.8% 9.8% 7.9%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.8%
5 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mighty Royals
0 1 2 3 4 5
Berekum Arsenal 0 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
2 3.9% 5.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
3 5.1% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
4 5.1% 6.8% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2%
5 4.0% 5.4% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6% 0.1%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home edge

Berekum Arsenal carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Berekum Arsenal +4.9, Mighty Royals -24.5.

Medium confidence Upset risk: Medium Elo standalone
Berekum Arsenal Elo 1515.7 · +4.9
vs
Mighty Royals Elo 1468.6 · -24.5
Elo gapBerekum Arsenal +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2984.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home edge
Confidence band Medium confidence
Upset risk Medium
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2984.3
Elo home share 62%
Match tone Tactical Watch
Metric Berekum Arsenal Mighty Royals
Overall Elo1515.71468.6
Form Elo1526.81447.9
Home / Away Elo1517.91474.6
Attack Elo1545.31475
Defense Elo1479.61485
Last 5 Elo change+4.9-24.5

The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Berekum Arsenal last-5 Elo change: +4.9; Mighty Royals last-5 Elo change: -24.5.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBerekum ArsenalMighty Royals
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack28%67%
Defense33%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Berekum Arsenal Mighty Royals
HATHAT
Played131326131326
Wins54%8%31%69%15%42%
Draws23%8%15%23%8%15%
Loses23%85%54%8%77%42%
Berekum ArsenalLWLLLDWLLWWLWLLWLLDWDLWLDL
Mighty RoyalsLDLWWLLWWDWLLDLWLWDLWWWLWL

League goals

Metric Berekum Arsenal Mighty Royals
HATHAT
GF total281341301242
GF avg2.21.01.62.30.91.6
GA total173451142943
GA avg1.32.62.01.12.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBerekum ArsenalMighty Royals
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%88%77%81%
1.546%58%42%50%
2.523%27%27%23%
3.512%15%12%8%
4.54%8%4%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBerekum ArsenalMighty Royals
HATHAT
Clean sheets303415
Failed to score167156

Penalties

MetricBerekum ArsenalMighty Royals
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBerekum ArsenalMighty Royals
Wins23
Draws11
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-01-45-03-4
Biggest losses2-35-00-25-0
Goals For5454
Goals Against3535

Model comparison

MetricBerekum ArsenalMighty Royals
Form31%69%
Att29%71%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total45.7%54.3%
💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

📊

League standings

Loading standings…