Expected Goals
3.92 (league 1.23)
1.35 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% |
best score tips
3 - 1
7.0%
4 - 1
6.8%
5 - 1
5.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Mighty Royals | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Berekum Arsenal | 0 | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home edge
Berekum Arsenal carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 82 points. This sits in the medium confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Berekum Arsenal +4.9, Mighty Royals -24.5.
Medium confidence
Upset risk: Medium
Elo standalone
Berekum Arsenal
vs
Mighty Royals
Elo gapBerekum Arsenal +82
Home / draw / away49% / 21% / 30%
Expected home share62%
Combined Elo2984.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home edge
Confidence band
Medium confidence
Upset risk
Medium
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2984.3
Elo home share
62%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1515.7 | 1468.6 |
| Form Elo | 1526.8 | 1447.9 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.9 | 1474.6 |
| Attack Elo | 1545.3 | 1475 |
| Defense Elo | 1479.6 | 1485 |
| Last 5 Elo change | +4.9 | -24.5 |
The structural rating edge is meaningful enough to support the favorite, especially if the match follows a normal tempo. Berekum Arsenal last-5 Elo change: +4.9; Mighty Royals last-5 Elo change: -24.5.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 28% | 67% |
| Defense | 33% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 12 | 2.4 | 9 | 1.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
68%
FT probability
3.5+
48%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 8% | 31% | 69% | 15% | 42% |
| Draws | 23% | 8% | 15% | 23% | 8% | 15% |
| Loses | 23% | 85% | 54% | 8% | 77% | 42% |
Berekum ArsenalLWLLLDWLLWWLWLLWLLDWDLWLDL
Mighty RoyalsLDLWWLLWWDWLLDLWLWDLWWWLWL
League goals
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 13 | 41 | 30 | 12 | 42 |
| GF avg | 2.2 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 17 | 34 | 51 | 14 | 29 | 43 |
| GA avg | 1.3 | 2.6 | 2.0 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 88% | 77% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 46% | 58% | 42% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 27% | 27% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 12% | 15% | 12% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 8% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 5-0 | 1-4 | 5-0 | 3-4 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 5-0 | 0-2 | 5-0 |
| Goals For | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Berekum Arsenal | Mighty Royals |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 45.7% | 54.3% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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