Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 • Venue TBA
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.23) 0.69 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.9% 37.1% 28.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.0%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Great Olympics
0 1 2 3 4 5
Golden Warriors 0 23.0% 15.9% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.9% 12.4% 4.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.0% 4.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.8% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
FootyWow Elo verdict

Home lean

Golden Warriors carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Golden Warriors -17.8, Great Olympics +7.1.

Lean confidence Upset risk: Medium-high Elo standalone
Golden Warriors Elo 1476.9 · -17.8
vs
Great Olympics Elo 1491.4 · +7.1
Elo gapGolden Warriors +21
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2968.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge Home lean
Confidence band Lean confidence
Upset risk Medium-high
Model agreement Elo standalone
Combined Elo 2968.3
Elo home share 53%
Match tone Upset Watch
Metric Golden Warriors Great Olympics
Overall Elo1476.91491.4
Form Elo1465.81499.4
Home / Away Elo1494.11496.5
Attack Elo1470.61461.4
Defense Elo1490.91483.7
Last 5 Elo change-17.8+7.1

There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Golden Warriors last-5 Elo change: -17.8; Great Olympics last-5 Elo change: +7.1.

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGolden WarriorsGreat Olympics
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack44%39%
Defense67%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

na
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Golden Warriors Great Olympics
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins38%23%31%43%25%35%
Draws15%15%15%29%25%27%
Loses46%62%54%29%50%38%
Golden WarriorsLLLLLWLDLDWLLWWWWLLLLLDWWD
Great OlympicsDDLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWDLLWWWLW

League goals

Metric Golden Warriors Great Olympics
HATHAT
GF total15142919524
GF avg1.21.11.11.40.40.9
GA total20193920929
GA avg1.51.51.51.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGolden WarriorsGreat Olympics
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%77%65%69%
1.531%50%19%23%
2.58%15%8%8%
3.50%8%0%4%
4.50%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGolden WarriorsGreat Olympics
HATHAT
Clean sheets426358
Failed to score257189

Penalties

MetricGolden WarriorsGreat Olympics
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGolden WarriorsGreat Olympics
Wins43
Draws12
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-00-2
Biggest losses0-42-01-63-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4363

Model comparison

MetricGolden WarriorsGreat Olympics
Form40%60%
Att53%47%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total39.4%60.6%
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

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