Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.23)
0.69 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.9% | 37.1% | 28.9% |
best score tips
0 - 0
23.0%
1 - 0
17.9%
0 - 1
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Great Olympics | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Golden Warriors | 0 | 23.0% | 15.9% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 17.9% | 12.4% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Home lean
Golden Warriors carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 21 points. This sits in the lean confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Golden Warriors -17.8, Great Olympics +7.1.
Lean confidence
Upset risk: Medium-high
Elo standalone
Golden Warriors
vs
Great Olympics
Elo gapGolden Warriors +21
Home / draw / away38% / 28% / 34%
Expected home share53%
Combined Elo2968.3
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Home lean
Confidence band
Lean confidence
Upset risk
Medium-high
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2968.3
Elo home share
53%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1476.9 | 1491.4 |
| Form Elo | 1465.8 | 1499.4 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1494.1 | 1496.5 |
| Attack Elo | 1470.6 | 1461.4 |
| Defense Elo | 1490.9 | 1483.7 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -17.8 | +7.1 |
There is a measurable Elo lean, but the gap still leaves room for the game state and finishing variance to reshape the result. Golden Warriors last-5 Elo change: -17.8; Great Olympics last-5 Elo change: +7.1.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 80% |
| Attack | 44% | 39% |
| Defense | 67% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
62%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 38% | 23% | 31% | 43% | 25% | 35% |
| Draws | 15% | 15% | 15% | 29% | 25% | 27% |
| Loses | 46% | 62% | 54% | 29% | 50% | 38% |
Golden WarriorsLLLLLWLDLDWLLWWWWLLLLLDWWD
Great OlympicsDDLDLLWDLWWWLLDLDWDLLWWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 15 | 14 | 29 | 19 | 5 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 20 | 19 | 39 | 20 | 9 | 29 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 77% | 65% | 69% |
| 1.5 | 31% | 50% | 19% | 23% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 15% | 8% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 4% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 2 |
| Losses | 5 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 2-0 | 1-6 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Golden Warriors | Great Olympics |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 25% | 75% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 33% | 67% |
| Total | 39.4% | 60.6% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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