Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 15:00 •
WAFA Park
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.23)
1.78 (league 0.87)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 22.6% | 23.3% | 53.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
0 - 1
10.3%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
| VC Warriors | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Legon Cities | 0 | 5.8% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 6.2% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Away strong edge
VC Warriors carry the stronger pre-match Elo base with an adjusted gap of about 100 points. This sits in the strong confidence band and is best used as a strength baseline rather than a stand-alone bet trigger. Elo standalone. Recent Elo movement: Legon Cities -25.4, VC Warriors +14.3.
Strong confidence
Upset risk: Low
Elo standalone
Legon Cities
vs
VC Warriors
Elo gapVC Warriors +100
Home / draw / away29% / 19% / 52%
Expected home share36%
Combined Elo2889.6
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Away strong edge
Confidence band
Strong confidence
Upset risk
Low
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
2889.6
Elo home share
36%
Match tone
Tactical Watch
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1377.2 | 1512.4 |
| Form Elo | 1362.3 | 1523 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1463.8 | 1487.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1434.2 | 1526.1 |
| Defense Elo | 1304 | 1513.2 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -25.4 | +14.3 |
This profiles as a strong Elo mismatch rather than a marginal pre-match edge. Legon Cities last-5 Elo change: -25.4; VC Warriors last-5 Elo change: +14.3.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 87% |
| Attack | 11% | 39% |
| Defense | 22% | 89% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
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Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 31% | 0% | 15% | 77% | 8% | 42% |
| Draws | 8% | 8% | 8% | 15% | 38% | 27% |
| Loses | 62% | 92% | 77% | 8% | 54% | 31% |
Legon CitiesWLLLDLLLLLLLDLWLWLLLLLLWLL
VC WarriorsWLWLDDDDDLLWDWWLWLWLLWWWDW
League goals
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 14 | 11 | 25 | 28 | 9 | 37 |
| GF avg | 1.1 | 0.8 | 1.0 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 29 | 40 | 69 | 12 | 15 | 27 |
| GA avg | 2.2 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Legon Cities | VC Warriors | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 92% | 73% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 81% | 42% | 31% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 46% | 8% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 35% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 8% | 8% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 1 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 6-2 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-5 | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Legon Cities | VC Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 19% | 81% |
| Att | 22% | 78% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 34% | 66% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 25.8% | 74.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
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