Thu, Dec 4 2025 • 10:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
2.05 (league 1.32)
0.15 (league 1.34)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 81.3% | 14.8% | 2.1% |
best score tips
2 - 0
23.3%
1 - 0
22.7%
3 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Merw | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ahal | 0 | 11.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ahal | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 7% |
| Attack | 50% | 31% |
| Defense | 69% | 25% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
64%
FT probability
2.5+
45%
FT probability
3.5+
32%
FT probability
BTTS
51%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ahal | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 50% | 52% | 8% | 8% | 8% |
| Draws | 23% | 25% | 24% | 31% | 23% | 27% |
| Loses | 23% | 25% | 24% | 62% | 69% | 65% |
Form: Ahal: WWLWWWWLWWLDWLWDDLDWLWDDW • Merw: LWDLLLLDLWLDLLLDLLLDDLDLLL
League goals
| Metric | Ahal | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 24 | 43 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 2.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 6 | 18 | 24 | 18 | 24 | 42 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | 1.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ahal | Merw | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 52% | 38% | 73% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 20% | 12% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 32% | 20% | 4% | 19% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ahal | Merw | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 9 | 3 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 16 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ahal | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ahal | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-4 | 2-0 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-3 | 7-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ahal | Merw |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 89% | 11% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 93% | 7% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 90% | 10% |
| Total | 83.0% | 17.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ahal or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ahal = 2.05 (league 1.32), Merw = 0.15 (league 1.34)
| Merw | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ahal | 0 | 11.1% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 22.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 23.3% | 3.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 8.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 3.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.3% · Draw 14.8% · Away win 2.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1