Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio El Teniente
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.11 (league 1.17) 0.62 (league 0.81)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.1% 2.5% 0.9%
best score tips
5 - 0
9.4%
4 - 0
9.2%
3 - 0
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Italy U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
United States U20 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnited States U20Italy U20
Played33
Form67%44%
Attack87%20%
Defense80%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 4.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 13 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric United States U20 Italy U20
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%0%67%50%0%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%100%33%0%100%33%

Form: United States U20: WWL • Italy U20: WDL

League goals

Metric United States U20 Italy U20
HATHAT
GF total12113303
GF avg6.01.04.31.50.01.0
GA total123213
GA avg0.52.01.01.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnited States U20Italy U20
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.567%33%33%33%
2.567%0%0%0%
3.533%0%0%0%
4.533%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnited States U20Italy U20
HATHAT
Clean sheets101101
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricUnited States U20Italy U20
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricUnited States U20Italy U20
Wins21
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins9-11-0
Biggest losses2-11-0
Goals For9120
Goals Against1221

Model comparison

MetricUnited States U20Italy U20
Form60%40%
Att81%19%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total63.7%36.3%

Advice: Winner : United States U20

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.21 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.50 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.17 @ SBO
Under 2.51.79 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No2.03 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): United States U20 = 5.11 (league 1.17), Italy U20 = 0.62 (league 0.81)

Italy U20
0 1 2 3 4 5
United States U20 0 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.2% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.2% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.2% 5.7% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 9.4% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.1% · Draw 2.5% · Away win 0.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1