Thu, Oct 16 2025 • 15:30 • Tammelan Stadion
Match Finished

TPV

3 - 0
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 2.78) 2.82 (league 1.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 17.3% 51.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
6.9%
1 - 3
6.5%
2 - 2
6.4%
Score & goals probability table
Ilves II
0 1 2 3 4 5
TPV 0 0.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
1 1.7% 4.9% 6.9% 6.5% 4.6% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
3 1.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTPVIlves II
Played55
Form67%87%
Attack63%63%
Defense47%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

64%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric TPV Ilves II
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins75%33%57%100%67%86%
Draws0%33%14%0%33%14%
Loses25%33%29%0%0%0%

Form: TPV: WLWWLWD • Ilves II: WWWWWDW

League goals

Metric TPV Ilves II
HATHAT
GF total1241615823
GF avg3.01.32.33.82.73.3
GA total8513257
GA avg2.01.71.90.51.71.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTPVIlves II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%86%86%57%
1.571%57%71%29%
2.557%29%57%14%
3.514%14%57%0%
4.50%0%29%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTPVIlves II
HATHAT
Clean sheets011213
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricTPVIlves II
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricTPVIlves II
Wins25
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-17-02-4
Biggest losses3-42-0——
Goals For4374
Goals Against4313

Model comparison

MetricTPVIlves II
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h40%60%
Goals37%63%
Total40.0%60.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Ilves II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.10 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.50 @ Bet365
Away1.76 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Pinnacle
No3.10 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): TPV = 1.84 (league 2.78), Ilves II = 2.82 (league 1.91)

Ilves II
0 1 2 3 4 5
TPV 0 0.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
1 1.7% 4.9% 6.9% 6.5% 4.6% 2.6%
2 1.6% 4.5% 6.4% 6.0% 4.2% 2.4%
3 1.0% 2.8% 3.9% 3.7% 2.6% 1.5%
4 0.4% 1.3% 1.8% 1.7% 1.2% 0.7%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.7% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 17.3% · Away win 51.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1