Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:30 • Tammelan Stadion
Match Finished
1 - 2

TPV

Expected Goals
2.33 (league 2.78) 0.34 (league 1.91)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.2% 13.6% 4.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
16.2%
3 - 0
14.6%
Score & goals probability table
TPV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves II 0 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIlves IITPV
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack56%67%
Defense61%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ilves II TPV
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins100%50%75%80%33%63%
Draws0%25%13%0%33%13%
Loses0%25%13%20%33%25%

Form: Ilves II: WWWWWDWL • TPV: WLWWLWDW

League goals

Metric Ilves II TPV
HATHAT
GF total1582315419
GF avg3.82.02.93.01.32.4
GA total28108513
GA avg0.52.01.31.61.71.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIlves IITPV
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%88%75%
1.563%38%75%50%
2.550%25%63%25%
3.550%0%13%13%
4.525%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIlves IITPV
HATHAT
Clean sheets213112
Failed to score022011

Penalties

MetricIlves IITPV
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricIlves IITPV
Wins52
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-02-44-10-1
Biggest losses—3-03-42-0
Goals For7443
Goals Against1343

Model comparison

MetricIlves IITPV
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h60%40%
Goals57%43%
Total58.3%41.7%

Advice: Double chance : Ilves II or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Dafabet
Draw4.51 @ Pinnacle
Away3.85 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.80 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.37 @ Unibet
No3.30 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ilves II = 2.33 (league 2.78), TPV = 0.34 (league 1.91)

TPV
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ilves II 0 6.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 16.2% 5.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.8% 6.4% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.6% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.5% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.2% · Draw 13.6% · Away win 4.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1