Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Alberto Grisales
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.11) 1.97 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.3% 21.8% 54.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.0%
1 - 2
9.8%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 4.3% 8.5% 8.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima
Played55
Form67%80%
Attack77%77%
Defense62%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
Played192039232245
Wins37%20%28%57%45%51%
Draws32%45%38%22%23%22%
Loses32%35%33%22%32%27%

Form: Rionegro Aguilas: DDDLLDLLWDLDDLDLDWWWDLDLDDWLLDWWLWDWWWL • Deportes Tolima: WDWDDLWDLWWWDLWDWWWLDLDWLWLLWWDWWWDLWLLWLWWWW

League goals

Metric Rionegro Aguilas Deportes Tolima
HATHAT
GF total252045372966
GF avg1.31.01.21.61.31.5
GA total222244202343
GA avg1.21.11.10.91.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%69%80%60%
1.533%31%42%22%
2.58%10%20%11%
3.53%3%4%2%
4.53%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima
HATHAT
Clean sheets57129918
Failed to score4812459

Penalties

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-54-01-4
Biggest losses2-34-01-33-1
Goals For3544
Goals Against3434

Model comparison

MetricRionegro AguilasDeportes Tolima
Form45%55%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total42.0%58.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Deportes Tolima

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.57 @ Superbet
Draw3.25 @ Betfair
Away3.51 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.72 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ 188Bet
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rionegro Aguilas = 1.18 (league 1.11), Deportes Tolima = 1.97 (league 0.79)

Deportes Tolima
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rionegro Aguilas 0 4.3% 8.5% 8.3% 5.5% 2.7% 1.1%
1 5.1% 10.0% 9.8% 6.4% 3.2% 1.3%
2 3.0% 5.9% 5.8% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7%
3 1.2% 2.3% 2.3% 1.5% 0.7% 0.3%
4 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1