Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Departamental Libertad
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.11) 1.67 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.4% 22.2% 34.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.2%
2 - 1
8.5%
1 - 2
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 3.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo PastoBucaramanga
Played55
Form33%67%
Attack62%46%
Defense46%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Pasto Bucaramanga
HATHAT
Played192039201838
Wins53%5%28%60%33%47%
Draws26%35%31%20%28%24%
Loses21%60%41%20%39%29%

Form: Deportivo Pasto: LLDWWWLWWDDDDLWLWLWLWDDLLLDWLLDLLDDDLWL • Bucaramanga: LLLDDDWLDWWLWWDLLWWWDLWWLWWWDDWLWWDWLW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Pasto Bucaramanga
HATHAT
GF total321143312152
GF avg1.70.61.11.61.21.4
GA total212748162137
GA avg1.11.41.20.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo PastoBucaramanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%77%76%63%
1.531%38%39%24%
2.513%8%13%8%
3.53%0%8%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo PastoBucaramanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets63910414
Failed to score31114549

Penalties

MetricDeportivo PastoBucaramanga
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricDeportivo PastoBucaramanga
Wins33
Draws43
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-14-01-4
Biggest losses0-23-00-43-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo PastoBucaramanga
Form33%67%
Att57%43%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution53%47%
H2h7%93%
Goals30%70%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Bucaramanga

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.11 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.20 @ 10Bet
Away2.05 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.45 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.57 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.77 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Pasto = 1.84 (league 1.11), Bucaramanga = 1.67 (league 0.79)

Bucaramanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Pasto 0 3.0% 5.0% 4.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.3%
1 5.5% 9.2% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6%
2 5.1% 8.5% 7.1% 3.9% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.1% 5.2% 4.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.4% 2.4% 2.0% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.4% · Draw 22.2% · Away win 34.6%

Vtot 11 , Vtod1