Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Atanasio Girardot
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.23 (league 1.11) 1.13 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 27.9% 33.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.1%
1 - 0
11.6%
0 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 9.4% 10.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.6% 13.1% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Played55
Form67%100%
Attack100%92%
Defense38%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.612 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Medellin America de Cali
HATHAT
Played232447232245
Wins48%50%49%61%32%47%
Draws39%25%32%30%32%31%
Loses13%25%19%9%36%22%

Form: Independiente Medellin: DWWDWWWDDDDLWWDDLLWLDWWWWDDLDLLWWWWWWDDWLWWDLWW • America de Cali: WWDWDWLWDWWLDDLWWDWWDWDLWDDWLLLDLDLDWWDLWWWWW

League goals

Metric Independiente Medellin America de Cali
HATHAT
GF total383472382159
GF avg1.71.41.51.71.01.3
GA total202545171835
GA avg0.91.01.00.70.80.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%62%73%53%
1.543%21%40%18%
2.526%6%13%7%
3.54%4%4%0%
4.52%2%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
HATHAT
Clean sheets10818111021
Failed to score37104812

Penalties

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Scored (total | %)9 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total94

Streaks

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Wins62
Draws42
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-00-4
Biggest losses3-45-21-33-0
Goals For3544
Goals Against4533

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente MedellinAmerica de Cali
Form40%60%
Att52%48%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or America de Cali

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ Superbet
Draw3.80 @ Bet365
Away5.30 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.81 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 10Bet
No1.88 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Medellin = 1.23 (league 1.11), America de Cali = 1.13 (league 0.79)

America de Cali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Medellin 0 9.4% 10.7% 6.0% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.6% 13.1% 7.4% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.1% 8.1% 4.6% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.9% 3.3% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 27.9% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1