Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Bello Horizonte
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.11) 0.91 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 31.9% 32.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
15.2%
1 - 0
14.8%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 15.2% 13.8% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.2% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlanerosEnvigado
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack46%31%
Defense31%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

58%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llaneros Envigado
HATHAT
Played192039201939
Wins42%25%33%10%32%21%
Draws16%15%15%45%11%28%
Loses42%60%51%45%58%51%

Form: Llaneros: LWDDLLWLLLLWWLLLWLLWDDWWWLLWLWDLLDWWLLL • Envigado: DLLWLWLLDLWDLWWLLLLLLDWDDWLDLDLDDLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Llaneros Envigado
HATHAT
GF total172037151631
GF avg0.91.00.90.80.80.8
GA total183250282351
GA avg0.91.61.31.41.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlanerosEnvigado
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%74%51%87%
1.533%31%18%26%
2.58%18%8%8%
3.50%5%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlanerosEnvigado
HATHAT
Clean sheets6410325
Failed to score991881119

Penalties

MetricLlanerosEnvigado
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total15

Streaks

MetricLlanerosEnvigado
Wins32
Draws22
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-13-4
Biggest losses0-34-01-73-1
Goals For2334
Goals Against3473

Model comparison

MetricLlanerosEnvigado
Form60%40%
Att60%40%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h100%0%
Goals67%33%
Total56.8%43.2%

Advice: Double chance : Llaneros or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Unibet
Away6.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.67 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.19 @ 188Bet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llaneros = 0.98 (league 1.11), Envigado = 0.91 (league 0.79)

Envigado
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llaneros 0 15.2% 13.8% 6.3% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.8% 13.5% 6.1% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1%
2 7.2% 6.6% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 2.4% 2.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 31.9% · Away win 32.2%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1