Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Nemesio Camacho El Campin
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.11) 1.02 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 24.7% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
11.5%
2 - 1
9.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 7.1% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.8% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta FeAlianza Petrolera
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack31%38%
Defense77%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Fe Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Played232447201939
Wins43%46%45%55%26%41%
Draws30%29%30%20%32%26%
Loses26%25%26%25%42%33%

Form: Santa Fe: WDDDLWWWDWLWDLLDWWWLLWWLWWDWDWDDWLWLLDWDWLDDLWW • Alianza Petrolera: DDLDWWWLLDLLWWLDWWLWDWLDLLDWWLWDWDLLWWW

League goals

Metric Santa Fe Alianza Petrolera
HATHAT
GF total273158291847
GF avg1.21.31.21.50.91.2
GA total202747142842
GA avg0.91.11.00.71.51.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta FeAlianza Petrolera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%62%67%56%
1.534%28%31%36%
2.56%4%15%15%
3.52%2%3%0%
4.52%2%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta FeAlianza Petrolera
HATHAT
Clean sheets1081811617
Failed to score66125813

Penalties

MetricSanta FeAlianza Petrolera
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total74

Streaks

MetricSanta FeAlianza Petrolera
Wins33
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-76-10-2
Biggest losses1-36-11-33-0
Goals For3763
Goals Against3633

Model comparison

MetricSanta FeAlianza Petrolera
Form47%53%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h71%29%
Goals53%47%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Fe or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.90 @ 188Bet
Draw3.55 @ 10Bet
Away5.50 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.08 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.80 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.92 @ Unibet
No1.95 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Fe = 1.63 (league 1.11), Alianza Petrolera = 1.02 (league 0.79)

Alianza Petrolera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Fe 0 7.1% 7.2% 3.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
1 11.5% 11.8% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
2 9.4% 9.6% 4.9% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
3 5.1% 5.2% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
4 2.1% 2.1% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 24.7% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1