Primera A — Colombia
Fri, Nov 14 2025 • 00:00 • Estadio Sierra Nevada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.39 (league 1.11) 1.41 (league 0.79)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.7% 25.3% 37.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 1
8.6%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Fortaleza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.5% 11.9% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricUnion MagdalenaFortaleza FC
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack23%46%
Defense38%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Union Magdalena Fortaleza FC
HATHAT
Played182038201939
Wins17%15%16%55%16%36%
Draws44%15%29%30%37%33%
Loses39%70%55%15%47%31%

Form: Union Magdalena: LDDDLLDLDLLLDDDLLLWDLLWDLWLLWLLDWLWLLL • Fortaleza FC: DLWWLLLDDDLLLWWDLWLLWWDDDDDWDWWLWDWLWWD

League goals

Metric Union Magdalena Fortaleza FC
HATHAT
GF total201434241640
GF avg1.10.70.91.20.81.0
GA total263359152742
GA avg1.41.71.60.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineUnion MagdalenaFortaleza FC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%87%69%59%
1.521%50%28%31%
2.58%16%3%10%
3.50%3%3%5%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricUnion MagdalenaFortaleza FC
HATHAT
Clean sheets32511516
Failed to score78155712

Penalties

MetricUnion MagdalenaFortaleza FC
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total46

Streaks

MetricUnion MagdalenaFortaleza FC
Wins12
Draws35
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-11-54-0
Goals For3242
Goals Against3454

Model comparison

MetricUnion MagdalenaFortaleza FC
Form23%77%
Att33%67%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h71%29%
Goals64%36%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortaleza FC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.75 @ Betfair
Draw3.62 @ Pinnacle
Away2.42 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.80 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Pinnacle
No2.09 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Union Magdalena = 1.39 (league 1.11), Fortaleza FC = 1.41 (league 0.79)

Fortaleza FC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Union Magdalena 0 6.1% 8.6% 6.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.5% 11.9% 8.4% 3.9% 1.4% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.3% 5.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.8% 2.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.0% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.7% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 37.4%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1