Super League — Kenya
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.48 (league 1.35) 0.62 (league 0.80)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.7% 26.3% 15.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.1%
2 - 0
13.4%
0 - 0
12.2%
Score & goals probability table
Luanda Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mombasa Elite 0 12.2% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.1% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMombasa EliteLuanda Villa
Played22
Form100%17%
Attack43%14%
Defense86%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 1.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.52 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mombasa Elite Luanda Villa
HATHAT
Played112112
Wins100%100%100%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%100%0%50%
Loses0%0%0%0%100%50%

Form: Mombasa Elite: WW • Luanda Villa: DL

League goals

Metric Mombasa Elite Luanda Villa
HATHAT
GF total213101
GF avg2.01.01.51.00.00.5
GA total101112
GA avg1.00.00.51.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMombasa EliteLuanda Villa
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%50%100%
1.550%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMombasa EliteLuanda Villa
HATHAT
Clean sheets011000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricMombasa EliteLuanda Villa
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMombasa EliteLuanda Villa
Wins20
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses———1-0
Goals For2110
Goals Against1011

Model comparison

MetricMombasa EliteLuanda Villa
Form86%14%
Att75%25%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h50%50%
Goals35%65%
Total62.6%37.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Mombasa Elite or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.85 @ Bet365
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away4.22 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.64 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mombasa Elite = 1.48 (league 1.35), Luanda Villa = 0.62 (league 0.80)

Luanda Villa
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mombasa Elite 0 12.2% 7.6% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.1% 11.2% 3.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 8.3% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.6% 4.1% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.7% · Draw 26.3% · Away win 15.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1