Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 20:00 • Estadio Abel Sastre
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.91 (league 1.06) 0.81 (league 0.67)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
35.8% 33.8% 30.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
17.9%
1 - 0
16.3%
0 - 1
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gimnasia M.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Madryn 0 17.9% 14.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.4% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricDeportivo MadrynGimnasia M.
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack36%45%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Deportivo Madryn Gimnasia M.
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins76%18%47%65%35%50%
Draws18%53%35%29%41%35%
Loses6%29%18%6%24%15%

Form: Deportivo Madryn: LLDWLWDWDDDDLWWDWDWDWDWWWWDWLWWDWL • Gimnasia M.: DWWDWWDDWDWDLWDWDDDWWLWWWWLLDWLWDW

League goals

Metric Deportivo Madryn Gimnasia M.
HATHAT
GF total281745201535
GF avg1.61.01.31.20.91.0
GA total11172871118
GA avg0.61.00.80.40.60.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineDeportivo MadrynGimnasia M.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%68%76%47%
1.538%15%26%6%
2.515%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricDeportivo MadrynGimnasia M.
HATHAT
Clean sheets741110818
Failed to score167268

Penalties

MetricDeportivo MadrynGimnasia M.
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricDeportivo MadrynGimnasia M.
Wins44
Draws43
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-32-00-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-12-0
Goals For3322
Goals Against2212

Model comparison

MetricDeportivo MadrynGimnasia M.
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution54%46%
H2h40%60%
Goals42%58%
Total48.3%51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Deportivo Madryn or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Bet365
Draw2.79 @ 188Bet
Away2.91 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.67 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.30 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.60 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Deportivo Madryn = 0.91 (league 1.06), Gimnasia M. = 0.81 (league 0.67)

Gimnasia M.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Deportivo Madryn 0 17.9% 14.5% 5.9% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.3% 13.2% 5.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.4% 6.0% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 35.8% · Draw 33.8% · Away win 30.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1