First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 11:30 • Stadion Arsenal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.79 (league 1.23) 0.42 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
70.0% 20.9% 8.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.6%
2 - 0
17.5%
0 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 10.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.6% 8.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricArsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
Played55
Form13%27%
Attack27%33%
Defense53%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arsenal Tula Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins17%29%23%17%14%15%
Draws67%29%46%17%29%23%
Loses17%43%31%67%57%62%

Form: Arsenal Tula: DDWDDWLWLLDLD • Torpedo Moskva: LDLLWLLDDLLWL

League goals

Metric Arsenal Tula Torpedo Moskva
HATHAT
GF total10818628
GF avg1.71.11.41.00.30.6
GA total971611920
GA avg1.51.01.21.81.31.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineArsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%92%46%69%
1.538%31%15%38%
2.515%0%0%38%
3.50%0%0%8%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricArsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
HATHAT
Clean sheets011224
Failed to score022257

Penalties

MetricArsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricArsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
Wins11
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-31-00-1
Biggest losses1-22-11-43-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against2243

Model comparison

MetricArsenal TulaTorpedo Moskva
Form33%67%
Att44%56%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h33%67%
Goals44%56%
Total48.5%51.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Torpedo Moskva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.08 @ 1xBet
Away3.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.74 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ Marathonbet
No1.68 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arsenal Tula = 1.79 (league 1.23), Torpedo Moskva = 0.42 (league 1.06)

Torpedo Moskva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arsenal Tula 0 10.9% 4.6% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.6% 8.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.5% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.4% 4.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 70.0% · Draw 20.9% · Away win 8.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1