First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:00 • Stadion Urozhay
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.08 (league 1.22) 1.24 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.9% 28.1% 39.8%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
10.6%
Score & goals probability table
KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 9.8% 12.2% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSpartak KostromaKAMAZ
Played55
Form73%33%
Attack64%43%
Defense64%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Spartak Kostroma KAMAZ
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins33%86%62%50%43%46%
Draws50%14%31%33%29%31%
Loses17%0%8%17%29%23%

Form: Spartak Kostroma: LWDWWWWDWWWDD • KAMAZ: DWWLWWDWDLDLW

League goals

Metric Spartak Kostroma KAMAZ
HATHAT
GF total7142112921
GF avg1.22.01.62.01.31.6
GA total66126814
GA avg1.00.90.91.01.11.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSpartak KostromaKAMAZ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%85%77%85%
1.554%8%46%15%
2.515%0%23%8%
3.58%0%8%0%
4.50%0%8%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSpartak KostromaKAMAZ
HATHAT
Clean sheets022112
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricSpartak KostromaKAMAZ
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total14

Streaks

MetricSpartak KostromaKAMAZ
Wins42
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-45-11-3
Biggest losses0-1—1-23-0
Goals For2453
Goals Against1223

Model comparison

MetricSpartak KostromaKAMAZ
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total57.8%42.3%

Advice: Double chance : Spartak Kostroma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.18 @ 1xBet
Away4.04 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.54 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.54 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.15 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Spartak Kostroma = 1.08 (league 1.22), KAMAZ = 1.24 (league 1.05)

KAMAZ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Spartak Kostroma 0 9.8% 12.2% 7.6% 3.1% 1.0% 0.2%
1 10.6% 13.2% 8.2% 3.4% 1.0% 0.3%
2 5.7% 7.1% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.6% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.9% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 39.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1