First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 14:00 • Neftekhimik Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.68 (league 1.23) 0.73 (league 1.05)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.5% 38.0% 32.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.3%
0 - 1
17.8%
1 - 0
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 24.3% 17.8% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFK NeftekhimikChayka
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack47%20%
Defense87%40%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FK Neftekhimik Chayka
HATHAT
Played85136713
Wins25%40%31%0%14%8%
Draws50%40%46%33%43%38%
Loses25%20%23%67%43%54%

Form: FK Neftekhimik: DDDWLLDLDWWWD • Chayka: WDDDLLLLLLLDD

League goals

Metric FK Neftekhimik Chayka
HATHAT
GF total5813459
GF avg0.61.61.00.70.70.7
GA total9413161026
GA avg1.10.81.02.71.42.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFK NeftekhimikChayka
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%54%46%69%
1.515%15%15%46%
2.58%15%8%38%
3.58%8%0%31%
4.50%8%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFK NeftekhimikChayka
HATHAT
Clean sheets516134
Failed to score314347

Penalties

MetricFK NeftekhimikChayka
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricFK NeftekhimikChayka
Wins31
Draws33
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-4—0-3
Biggest losses1-51-00-64-0
Goals For1423
Goals Against5164

Model comparison

MetricFK NeftekhimikChayka
Form85%15%
Att70%30%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total59.8%40.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : FK Neftekhimik or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.54 @ 1xBet
Away5.90 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.59 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.56 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.51 @ Pinnacle
No1.57 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): FK Neftekhimik = 0.68 (league 1.23), Chayka = 0.73 (league 1.05)

Chayka
0 1 2 3 4 5
FK Neftekhimik 0 24.3% 17.8% 6.5% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
1 16.6% 12.1% 4.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 5.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.3% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.5% · Draw 38.0% · Away win 32.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1