First League — Russia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 16:00 • Arena Khimki
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 1.22) 0.66 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.8% 22.1% 13.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
10.1%
Score & goals probability table
Ska-khabarovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 8.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRodina MoskvaSka-khabarovsk
Played55
Form67%67%
Attack33%39%
Defense78%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

68%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rodina Moskva Ska-khabarovsk
HATHAT
Played76137613
Wins57%17%38%43%33%38%
Draws29%50%38%43%17%31%
Loses14%33%23%14%50%31%

Form: Rodina Moskva: DLLDDDWWWWLWD • Ska-khabarovsk: DWWDLLDLLDWWW

League goals

Metric Rodina Moskva Ska-khabarovsk
HATHAT
GF total127199615
GF avg1.71.21.51.31.01.2
GA total58136814
GA avg0.71.31.00.91.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRodina MoskvaSka-khabarovsk
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%85%85%
1.538%23%23%15%
2.515%15%8%8%
3.58%8%0%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRodina MoskvaSka-khabarovsk
HATHAT
Clean sheets426202
Failed to score033022

Penalties

MetricRodina MoskvaSka-khabarovsk
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricRodina MoskvaSka-khabarovsk
Wins42
Draws31
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-53-11-2
Biggest losses1-34-01-23-1
Goals For3532
Goals Against3423

Model comparison

MetricRodina MoskvaSka-khabarovsk
Form50%50%
Att46%54%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total55.5%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Rodina Moskva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.78 @ 1xBet
Draw3.56 @ 1xBet
Away5.13 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.31 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.16 @ Pinnacle
No1.69 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rodina Moskva = 1.81 (league 1.22), Ska-khabarovsk = 0.66 (league 1.06)

Ska-khabarovsk
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rodina Moskva 0 8.5% 5.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.3% 10.1% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 9.1% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 8.3% 5.5% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.4% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.8% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 13.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1