First League — Russia
Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 13:00 • Volgograd Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.23) 0.37 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.3% 23.8% 8.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.5%
2 - 0
17.8%
0 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 14.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 8.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 6.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRotor VolgogradChernomorets
Played55
Form53%80%
Attack25%75%
Defense88%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.812 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rotor Volgograd Chernomorets
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins67%29%46%50%14%31%
Draws17%43%31%0%43%23%
Loses17%29%23%50%43%46%

Form: Rotor Volgograd: WLDWDWLWWWDLD • Chernomorets: DLLDLLLDWWLWW

League goals

Metric Rotor Volgograd Chernomorets
HATHAT
GF total99189918
GF avg1.51.31.41.51.31.4
GA total2578917
GA avg0.30.70.51.31.31.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRotor VolgogradChernomorets
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%38%69%92%
1.531%15%31%31%
2.523%0%23%8%
3.58%0%15%0%
4.58%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRotor VolgogradChernomorets
HATHAT
Clean sheets538101
Failed to score145224

Penalties

MetricRotor VolgogradChernomorets
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricRotor VolgogradChernomorets
Wins32
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-64-11-4
Biggest losses1-22-00-23-2
Goals For3644
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricRotor VolgogradChernomorets
Form40%60%
Att25%75%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution80%20%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total52.7%47.3%

Advice: Double chance : Rotor Volgograd or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.14 @ SBO
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away4.33 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.94 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.40 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.46 @ 1xBet
No1.56 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Rotor Volgograd = 1.58 (league 1.23), Chernomorets = 0.37 (league 1.06)

Chernomorets
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rotor Volgograd 0 14.3% 5.2% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 22.5% 8.3% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.8% 6.5% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 9.4% 3.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 3.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.3% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 8.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1